Effective regional and national policies depend on understanding who moves, when, and with which educational backgrounds. This report delivers a harmonised dataset of migration flows within and between European countries, disaggregated by age group, sex and level of education. It provides a consolidated statistical foundation that allows policymakers to compare mobility patterns across borders and regions using consistent and transparent methods.
The report outlines how census microdata, demographic projections, and regional population statistics were combined to estimate the educational composition of bilateral migration flows within Europe, as well as net migration at the NUTS3 level, covering the periods 2010–2015 and 2015–2020.
These estimates feed directly into the PREMIUM_EU regional policy dashboard, strengthening the evidence base for strategies related to labour supply, education planning and regional resilience.
The report offers statistical insights on
Comparable migration data across Europe:
The dataset harmonises national and regional inputs, enabling more coherent analysis of mobility pressures and opportunities across countries and regions.
Educational profiles of migrants:
By estimating flows by three education levels (low, middle, high), the dataset helps identify how different skill groups contribute to demographic change and regional development.
Regional (NUTS3) migration estimates:
The report introduces a method to estimate net migration at a regional scale using demographic accounting and predicted educational distributions.
Use of advanced modelling tools:
Methods such as Rogers–Castro migration age schedules, an ensemble Super Learner model and iterative proportional fitting ensure robust and internally consistent estimates across demographic categories.
Policy-ready outputs:
The dataset offers a structured statistical foundation for exploring regional disparities, forecasting needs and designing targeted interventions with the help of the PREMIUM_EU Dashboard.
